Comparing the Performance of Two Different Customer Order Behaviors Within the Hierarchical Production Planning Thomas Felberbauer, Klaus Altendorfer, University of Applied Sciences Upper Austria. Winter Simulation Conference, 2014.

A hierarchical production planning structure enables manufacturing systems to handle customer disturbances with different measures on different planning levels. Two different kinds of customer order behavior can be observed and are as well discussed in literature.
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Discrete Choice, Agent Based and System Dynamics Simulation of Health Profession Career Paths T. Flynn, Y. Tian, K. Masnick, G. McDonnell, E. Huynh, A. Mair, N. Osgood. Winter Simulation Conference, 2014.

Modelling real workforce choices accurately via Agent Based Models and System Dynamics requires input data on the actual preferences of individual agents. Often lack of data means that analysts can have an understanding of how agents move through the system, but not why, and when.
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Reflections on Two Approaches to Hybrid Simulation in Healthcare Joe Viana, University of Southampton. Winter Simulation Conference, 2014.

Hybrid simulation, the combination of simulation paradigms to address a problem is becoming more popular as the problems we are presented with become more complex. This is evidenced by an increase in the number of hybrid papers published in specific domains and the number of hybrid simulation frameworks being produced across domains.
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Modeling Country-Scale Electricity Demand Profiles M. Pruckner, D Eckhoff, R. German, University of Erlangen-Nuremberg. Winter Simulation Conference, 2014.

All over the world, and in particular in Germany, a trend toward a more sustainable electric energy supply
including energy efficiency and climate protection can be observed. Simulation models can support these
energy transitions by providing beneficial insights for the development of different electricity generation mix
strategies in future electric energy systems.
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Towards Closed Loop Modeling: Evaluatng The Prospects for Creating Recurrently Regrounded Aggregate Simulation Models Using Particle Filtering Nathaniel Osgood, Juxin Liu, University of Saskatchewan 106 Wiggins Road, University of Saskatchewan Saskatoon. Winter Simulation Conference, 2014

Public health agencies traditionally rely heavily on epidemiological reporting for notifiable disease control, but increasingly apply simulation models for forecasting and to understand intervention tradeoffs. Unfortunately, such models traditionally lack capacity to easily incorporate information from epidemiological data feeds.
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Increasing rail capacity utilization in port of Hamburg by early provision of information for import containers Ralf Elbert, Fabian Walter, Chair of Management and Logistics, Technische Universität Darmstadt. AnyLogic Conference 2014.

Various actors are involved in hinterland transportation of incoming rail containers along the maritime transport chain. To coordinate each actor’s logistics processes, and therefore to improve utilization of existing transport capacity, the early provision of information, e.g. in form of estimated time of arrival (ETA), is inevitable.
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Quantitative analysis of bidding strategies: a hybrid agent based–system dynamics approach Arash MAHDAVI and Makarand HASTAK, Purdue University

Economic slowdown and construction demand shrinkage reduces the profit backlog for construction contractors and bites into their profit margin. The resulting fierce competition for jobs forces construction companies to look for more sophisticated analytical tools to analyze and improve their bidding strategies. For each contractor, bidding strategy is a decision-making process that is driven by the firm’s financial goals with the final objective of maximizing the firm’s gross profit and surpassing the breakeven point. This paper proposes a methodology to model and analyze different bidding strategies with hybrid agent based-system dynamics (ABSD) simulation.
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Comparison between Individual-based and Aggregate Models in the context of Tuberculosis Transmission Tian, Y. and Osgood, N., Proceedings, The 29 th International conference of the System Dynamics Society. July 2011, Washington, D.C.

The desire to better understand the transmission of infectious disease in the real world has motivated the representation of epidemic diffusion in the context of quantitative simulation. In recent decades, both individual-based (such as Agent-Based) models and aggregate models (such as System Dynamics) are widely used in epidemiological modeling. This paper compares the difference between system dynamics models and agent-based models in the context of Tuberculosis (TB) transmission, considering smoking as a risk factor.
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Representing Progression and Interactions of Comorbidities in Aggregate and Individual-Based Systems Models Osgood, N. Proceedings, The 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 2009, Albuquerque

Healthcare simulation models have attracted significant offered important insights in to health policy selection. More complete accounting for the cost and health implications of upstream interventions is hindered by the need to consider impact on, and interactions between, multiple comorbidities. Within this paper, we explore several distinct approaches for representing comorbidities, some of them at the aggregate level, and some of them at the individual level. All of these representations have the virtue of being declarative, in that they allow the user to focus on what is to be characterized, rather than how it is to be implemented. Our exploration suggests that while several aggregate representations of comorbidities are possible, they suffer from a variety of shortcomings, ranging from low fidelity to combinatorial blowup. While individual-level representations impose a heavy performance load, greater difficulties in calibration and less rapid analysis, such representations do offer greater transparency, modifiability, scalability, and modularity, and ease of representing transmission and influence networks. With much to recommend each approach, further research is needed to shed additional light on the tradeoffs and identify situations where one representation is preferable to another.
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SILVER: Software in Support of the System Dynamics Modeling Process Nathaniel Osgood, Proceedings, The 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 2009, Albuquerque

While the System Dynamics modeling process can yield invaluable high level insights, it gives rise to a tremendous amount of detail complexity. In the course of their work, modelers must track successive model versions, the motivation for and assumptions underlying particular “what if” scenarios, and the implicit relationships between scenarios, model versions and various external artifacts such as spreadsheets, symbolic mathematics calculations, and external documentation.
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